Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.593184 0.762869 0.954468 1.184261 1.449810 1.744588 2.094059
2025-10-12 0.359927 0.568870 0.836349 1.192023 1.640843 2.177287 2.855541
2025-10-19 0.205319 0.410822 0.711658 1.153639 1.756827 2.523576 3.543502
2025-10-26 0.115420 0.302068 0.616728 1.125020 1.868372 2.863058 4.240824
2025-11-02 0.067251 0.235245 0.560935 1.133817 2.021715 3.259643 5.028759
2025-11-09 0.033531 0.171624 0.487333 1.095538 2.094691 3.543802 5.675903
2025-11-16 0.019801 0.144447 0.471048 1.144891 2.298795 4.018404 6.598410
2025-11-23 0.009480 0.113189 0.433800 1.147687 2.425112 4.382647 7.377972
2025-11-30 0.005536 0.101428 0.436846 1.224103 2.674445 4.937356 8.443474
2025-12-07 0.002629 0.086768 0.426496 1.270895 2.874817 5.424158 9.424477
2025-12-14 0.000864 0.070344 0.403609 1.286720 3.020292 5.829996 10.297324
2025-12-21 0.000109 0.052710 0.366915 1.264921 3.094621 6.124794 11.012299
2025-12-28 0.000002 0.042701 0.351438 1.290043 3.259160 6.574655 11.980788
2026-01-04 NaN 0.033175 0.331109 1.299672 3.394685 6.982566 12.897629
2026-01-11 NaN 0.022358 0.294098 1.259596 3.430577 7.227765 13.572936
2026-01-18 NaN 0.014871 0.263866 1.229516 3.481504 7.497353 14.290388
2026-01-25 NaN 0.010870 0.249225 1.239045 3.611464 7.902733 15.226425
2026-02-01 NaN 0.006373 0.220030 1.198412 3.633236 8.122588 15.875431
2026-02-08 NaN 0.005269 0.220962 1.250955 3.854526 8.692726 17.088073
2026-02-15 NaN 0.003441 0.207486 1.253951 3.968581 9.078310 18.014142
2026-02-22 NaN 0.003209 0.216809 1.335165 4.257705 9.778659 19.454682
2026-03-01 NaN 0.002554 0.217013 1.384848 4.479108 10.363906 20.719419
2026-03-08 NaN 0.001682 0.208382 1.401645 4.627547 10.822559 21.787456